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5.8

Brazil 2026: Lula and Flávio statistically tied at 38%-36% in first round

A PoderData/Aya poll (Sep 6-9) shows Lula at 38% and Flávio at 36%, a statistical tie and the smallest gap since May. This signals a tightening race ahead of the first round, with implications for coalition building and market expectations on fiscal policy continuity.

Poder360about 24 hours agoBRCredibility 44%View source

Score Breakdown

Mosaic Score5.8
Confidence0.7
Significance0.5
Source credibility0.4

Intelligence Tags

#brazil#election#poll#lula#flavio

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