Tarcísio de Freitas Leads São Paulo Poll, First-Round Win Projected

A Futura/100% Cidades poll of 1,600 voters in São Paulo (Sept 2-4, margin of error ±2.4 pp) shows Tarcísio de Freitas winning in the first round. This indicates strong electoral support for the incumbent governor, though the poll is a snapshot and not a forecast. The result matters as São Paulo is Brazil's most populous state and a key political battleground.