Politics
9.2
Brazil runoff: Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro statistically tied with week to go
Published 12 h ago5 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyDeutsche WelleBR · US
MarketsReportedMediumDeveloping
6.2
Brazil Treasury yields fall sharply after polls show Flávio ahead of Lula
Brazilian Treasury Direct (prefixado) yields fell sharply, erasing most of Monday's gains, after new polls from Real Time Big Data and Alfa Inteligência showed Flávio ahead of Lula. The move suggests markets are pricing a lower risk premium on reduced political uncertainty, despite a concurrent rise in oil prices.
Score Breakdown
Mosaic Score6.2
Model confidence0.5
Significance0.5
Source credibility0.5
Part of a situation
Related signals
8 foundPolitics
9.0
Brazil polls: Flávio leads in 12 of 13 surveys, 5 days before election
Published 18 h ago6 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyPoder360BR
Politics
8.8
Brazil polls show technical tie between Lula and Flávio entering final week
Published 1 d ago5 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyInfoMoneyBR
Politics
7.3
Brazil runoff: two-point gap signals technical tie days before vote
Published 2 d ago2 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyLa Nación (Argentina)Low-rated sourceBR
Markets
6.2
Brazil Treasury Yields Drop Up to 9bp on External Cues, Polls
Published 1 d ago3 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityModerateInfoMoneyBR
Markets
6.1
Brazilian real firms as polls show Lula narrowing gap in election race
Published 1 d ago3 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityModerateAssessedDeveloping storyInfoMoneyBR
Politics
2.1
Brazil: Final pre-runoff polls scheduled ahead of Sunday vote
Published 7 h ago1 sourceEvidence: Reported
InfoMoneyBR
Politics
2.0
Celina Leão leads DF gubernatorial polls, Grass trails in latest surveys
Published 18 h ago1 sourceEvidence: Reported
AssessedDeveloping storyPoder360BR