Politics
8.0
Flávio Bolsonaro leads Lula in 10 of 12 polls ahead of Brazil runoff
Published 2 d ago3 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyPoder360BR
PoliticsReportedHighDevelopingFeatured
7.3
Brazil runoff: two-point gap signals technical tie days before vote
Polls show a two-point difference between the two presidential candidates ahead of the runoff, indicating a technical tie. The outcome remains highly uncertain, with implications for Brazil's economic and foreign policy direction.
Score Breakdown
Mosaic Score7.3
Model confidence0.5
Significance0.8
Source credibility0.3
Related signals
8 foundPolitics
8.5
Brazil Runoff: Lula Faces Tight Race as Challenger Gains Ground
Published 2 d ago6 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyGazeta WyborczaBR · US
Politics
7.7
Flávio leads Lula in 11 of 13 polls ahead of Brazil runoff
Published 1 d ago5 sourcesEvidence: Unknown
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyPoder360BR
Politics
7.1
Brazil 2026 runoff: Bolsonaro leads Lula within margin of error in latest polls
Published 2 d ago6 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityModerateAssessedDeveloping storyValor EconômicoLow-rated sourceBR
Politics
8.9
Brazil poll: Flavio leads Lula 50.8%-49.2% in runoff
Published 1 d ago6 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyPoder360BR
Politics
6.1
Brazil runoff: 94-95% of voters locked in, limited swing potential
Published 1 d ago4 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityModerateAssessedDeveloping storyInfoMoneyBR
Markets
6.1
Brazilian markets fall as presidential runoff polls show technical tie
Published 2 d ago3 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityModerateAssessedDeveloping storyPoder360BR
Politics
2.0
Brazil candidate Flávio vows 'Brazil of love', pledges to govern for all
Published 20 h ago1 sourceEvidence: Reported
Poder360BR