Politics
7.2
Lula and Flávio adjust campaign strategies after first round
Published 2 d ago5 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityModerateAssessedDeveloping storyInfoMoneyBR
PoliticsUnknownHighDevelopingFeatured
7.7
Flávio leads Lula in 11 of 13 polls ahead of Brazil runoff
With 8 days to the Brazilian presidential runoff, Senator Flávio holds a numerical lead in 11 of 13 recent polls compiled by Poder360, while Lula leads in 1. The race remains competitive, with margins within error in several surveys, and the outcome hinges on undecided voters and coalition dynamics.
Score Breakdown
Mosaic Score7.7
Model confidence0.7
Significance0.8
Source credibility0.4
Related signals
8 foundPolitics
8.9
Brazil poll: Flavio leads Lula 50.8%-49.2% in runoff
Published 1 d ago6 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyPoder360BR
Politics
8.5
Brazil Runoff: Lula Faces Tight Race as Challenger Gains Ground
Published 1 d ago6 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyGazeta WyborczaBR · US
Politics
8.3
Brazil runoff: Flávio 51%, Lula 49% in statistical tie
Published 2 d ago4 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyPoder360BR
Politics
8.0
Flávio Bolsonaro leads Lula in 10 of 12 polls ahead of Brazil runoff
Published 1 d ago3 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyPoder360BR
Politics
7.2
Brazil Poll: Flávio leads Lula 51.2%-48.8%, lead narrows by 3 points
Published 7 h ago6 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityModerateAssessedDeveloping storyInfoMoneyBR
Politics
7.1
Brazil 2026 runoff: Bolsonaro leads Lula within margin of error in latest polls
Published 2 d ago6 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityModerateAssessedDeveloping storyValor EconômicoLow-rated sourceBR
Markets
9.3
Brazil rate futures surge as Lula gains on Bolsonaro in Quaest poll
Published 2 d ago7 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyValor EconômicoLow-rated sourceBR