Politics
7.7
Flávio leads Lula in 11 of 13 polls ahead of Brazil runoff
Published 2 d ago5 sourcesEvidence: Unknown
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyPoder360BR
PoliticsReportedHighDevelopingFeatured
8.8
Brazil polls show technical tie between Lula and Flávio entering final week
Three recent polls (Datafolha, Quaest, CNT/MDA) place Flávio numerically ahead of Lula but within the margin of error, indicating a technical tie. The race remains highly competitive with the final week of campaigning ahead, and the outcome is uncertain.
Score Breakdown
Mosaic Score8.8
Model confidence0.7
Significance0.8
Source credibility0.5
Related signals
8 foundPolitics
8.9
Brazil poll: Flavio leads Lula 50.8%-49.2% in runoff
Published 2 d ago6 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyPoder360BR
Politics
7.2
Brazil Poll: Flávio leads Lula 51.2%-48.8%, lead narrows by 3 points
Published 1 d ago6 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityModerateAssessedDeveloping storyInfoMoneyBR
Politics
5.7
Lula and Flávio clash in debate over corruption probes, security, and economic plans
Published 11 h ago2 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityModerateAssessedDeveloping storyInfoMoneyBR
Politics
5.5
Lula and Flávio target Southeast as polls show tight race
Published 1 d ago3 sourcesEvidence: Unknown
SeverityModerateAssessedDeveloping storyPoder360BR
Politics
9.2
Brazil 2026 runoff: Flavio Bolsonaro 47%, Lula 45% — technical tie
Published 2 d ago6 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyLa Nación (Argentina)Low-rated sourceBR
Politics
8.0
Flávio Bolsonaro leads Lula in 10 of 12 polls ahead of Brazil runoff
Published 3 d ago3 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyPoder360BR
Politics
7.3
Brazil runoff: two-point gap signals technical tie days before vote
Published 1 d ago2 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyLa Nación (Argentina)Low-rated sourceBR