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6.8

CEPAL Warns 75% Chance of Historic Super Niño by December

CEPAL projects a 75% probability of a historic-magnitude Super Niño event lasting until December, with above-average rainfall and flood risk in northern Argentina. The forecast implies potential disruption to agriculture and infrastructure in the region, though uncertainty remains on exact intensity and impacts.

La Nación (Argentina)about 3 hours agoARCredibility 31%View source

Score Breakdown

Mosaic Score6.8
Model confidence0.5
Significance0.8
Source credibility0.3

Intelligence Tags

#el nino#climate risk#flooding#agriculture#cep al

Locations

northern Argentina

Entities

country
Source

Related signals

8 found