Politics
9.4
Brazil 2026 runoff set: Lula vs Bolsonaro, date confirmed
Published 3 h ago11 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyLa Nación (Argentina)Low-rated sourceBR
MarketsUnknownMediumDeveloping
6.7
Ibovespa Futures Slip as Brazil Election Polls Loom After Debate
Ibovespa futures declined as investors turned attention to upcoming election polls following a debate between Flávio and Lula. European equities also fell on fiscal concerns, adding to risk-off sentiment. The market impact hinges on poll results, which could signal a shift in election odds and fiscal policy expectations.
Score Breakdown
Mosaic Score6.7
Model confidence0.5
Significance0.5
Source credibility0.5
Related signals
8 foundPolitics
8.9
Brazil poll: Flavio leads Lula 50.8%-49.2% in runoff
Published 2 d ago6 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyPoder360BR
Politics
8.8
Brazil polls show technical tie between Lula and Flávio entering final week
Published 4 h ago5 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyInfoMoneyBR
Politics
7.7
Flávio leads Lula in 11 of 13 polls ahead of Brazil runoff
Published 2 d ago5 sourcesEvidence: Unknown
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyPoder360BR
Climate
7.3
Brazil Amazon deforestation hits lowest level since 1988
Published 2 d ago6 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityModerateTagesschauBR
Politics
7.2
Brazil Poll: Flávio leads Lula 51.2%-48.8%, lead narrows by 3 points
Published 2 d ago6 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityModerateAssessedDeveloping storyInfoMoneyBR
Politics
6.5
Brazil poll tracks vote transfer between Lula and Flávio days before election
Published 7 min ago4 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityModerateAssessedDeveloping storyInfoMoneyBR
Markets
6.2
Ibovespa record after Brazil first round: market bets on pension tightening
Published 2 d ago4 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityModerateAssessedDeveloping storyThe Intercept BrasilBR