developingMarkets

Iranian Rial Devaluation to 2 Million Per US Dollar

The Iranian rial has depreciated to a confirmed record low of 2 million per US dollar in the free market.

AI disclosure: Model-written assessment of the linked reports, not a verified fact. Check the sources. How Mosaic works

: Reported1 of 5 key facts linked
: Not measuredno reporting-volume measure is served for situations
: Not assessedno severity is rated for situations
: 2 publishers2 reports

: Escalating (the model's assessment, not a measurement)

Aug 26First seen Aug 24Assessment written Aug 27

Why now: Newest report Aug 26: Iranian Rial Depreciates to 2 Million Per US Dollar Amid Economic Strain (Al Jazeera).from the newest member report, published 26 Aug 10:00 UTC
Why it matters: This devaluation significantly erodes domestic purchasing power and indicates increasing economic instability within Iran.
Affected: Iran (lead)countries named in the evidence; the lead is the country it is filed under, not an event location
Next catalyst: No scheduled catalyst known.Mosaic holds a schedule only for economic-calendar releases; 3 indicators to watch below

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Known and unknown

key facts by their own evidence status

Known

ReportedIranian rial depreciated to 2 million per US dollar.

Not established

Devaluation driven by persistent international sanctions and regional geopolitical tensions.
Devaluation significantly erodes domestic purchasing power.
Exact impact on state-controlled fiscal stability.
Extent to which devaluation is driven by specific recent policy shifts versus broader systemic sanctions.

stated, not yet supported by linked evidence

Indicators to watch

→Iranian government fiscal policy responses
→Changes in international sanctions regime
→Public reaction and potential social unrest

what would change the read; not a schedule

Evidence

Reported · 2 signals · 2 distinct outlets

Central claim Iranian Rial Depreciates to 2 Million Per US Dollar Amid Economic Strain

Reported2 · 2 src · best source record low

Aug 26Iranian Rial Depreciates to 2 Million Per US Dollar Amid Economic StrainAl Jazeera
Aug 25Iranian Rial hits record low of 205,000 tomans per USDIranWire

Timeline

first seen 24 Aug 11:52 UTC · 2 timed reports · published time, else recorded

26 Aug 10:00 UTCIranian Rial Depreciates to 2 Million Per US Dollar Amid Economic StrainAl Jazeera
25 Aug 14:13 UTCIranian Rial hits record low of 205,000 tomans per USDIranWire

Connected

named in this situation's reports; not a claim that one causes another

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Assessment

model confidence: under Technical details

Read the full assessment

The Iranian rial has depreciated to a confirmed record low of 2 million per US dollar in the free market. This devaluation is attributed to persistent international sanctions and regional geopolitical tensions, signaling deepening fiscal distress. The exact impact on state-controlled fiscal stability and the specific drivers (policy shifts vs. systemic sanctions) remain unclear.

AI disclosure: Model-written assessment of the linked reports, not a verified fact. Check the sources. How Mosaic works

Topics currency · inflation · sanctions · iran · fx · forex

Technical details

Impact score: 7.6 / 10 · a priority score, not confidence
Model confidence: Medium: evidence reported (1 of 5 key facts linked to evidence; the model marked a key fact as unclear); 2 distinct outlets
Coverage focus: 100% in primary evidence group
Coherence: 0.95
Review state: published
Refreshed: Updated Aug 27, synthesized Aug 27. Not evidence time.
Cluster type: story
Member signals: 2
Situation id: c0f33008-c240-4a07-97c7-9b09241d6b5b

Last evidenceAug 26, 10:30 UTC

Last successful evaluationSuccessful evaluation timestamp unavailable (legacy)

Last attempt·

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