active→ StableGeopoliticsConflictDefense
Iran — 55 developments
Impact
5.7
Confidence
Medium
Evidence
37 sig · 28 src
Trajectory
→ Stable
Geo
IR UA AS
First seen Jul 24·Updated Sep 8·Synthesized Sep 8
Assessment
Medium confidence: 16/37 signals corroborated across 28 independent sources
Evidence
Confirmed · 28 independent sources · 37 signals · 28 independent sources
Corroborated16 · 13 src · best low 58%
- Sep 8Iran unveils upgraded ballistic missile, warns US warships of preemptive strikes
- Sep 8Iran Threatens US with 'Economic War' and Missile Launch at Warships
- Sep 7Panama Canal chief weighs further transit cuts as El Nino drought persists
- Sep 7US Navy secretly clears mines from Strait of Hormuz; threat of re-laying persists
- Sep 7Iran warns of 'painful response' to further attacks amid sanctions pressure
- Sep 7Global ship fuel shortage worsens as Iran and Ukraine wars tighten crude supply
- Sep 7US Navy SEALs secretly clear mines from Strait of Hormuz over four months
- Sep 7Iran Deploys New Anti-Ship Missile, Threatens Hormuz Closure
+ 8 more
- Sep 7Iran warns US energy assets exposed, vows retaliation for strikes
- Sep 6US Energy Chief: Navy to Defend Hormuz Until Iran Backs Down
- Sep 6Iran signals retaliation after US strikes tankers inside blockade line
- Sep 6Iraqi Ruling Coalition Warns of Sanctions Fallout, Defies US Pressure on Iran
- Sep 6Iran vows economic fixes, warns of 'painful response' to further attacks
- Sep 5US sanctions and oil blockade pressure Iran, sources say economy straining
- Sep 5Pentagon polygraphs 50 staff after ammunition shortage leaks
- Sep 5Pentagon polygraphs 50 JCS staff in leak probe
Single-source3 · 3 src · best low 61%
Emerging18 · 16 src · best low 59%
- Sep 8Iran claims advanced missile strike on US warships, threatens economic warfare
- Sep 7Iran's Supreme Leader Mojtaba Jamenei Injured, Absent from Public for Six Months
- Sep 7Iran Threatens Retaliation Against U.S. Energy Firms if Washington Strikes Its Facilities
- Sep 7Panama Canal weighs tighter transit limits as El Niño deepens drought
- Sep 7Iran Deploys New Anti-Ship Missile Against US Navy in Persian Gulf
- Sep 7Panama Canal faces water-driven traffic cuts amid shipping strain
- Sep 7Iran warns US energy firms face strikes if Washington attacks tankers
- Sep 7Iran Warns of Faster, Harder Response to Any US or Israeli Attack
+ 10 more
- Sep 6Iran Tests Anti-Ship Missile Over US Carrier, First Such Claim
- Sep 6Iran to declare restricted maritime zone beyond Strait of Hormuz
- Sep 6US Unveils 'Operation Economic Outcast' Sanctions Campaign on August 24
- Sep 6Iran vows economic fixes, threatens more painful attacks amid stalemate
- Sep 6Iran to Establish No-Fly Zone Outside Strait of Hormuz
- Sep 6Iran to Declare No-Go Zone Near Strait of Hormuz, Escalating Gulf Standoff
- Sep 6Iran Threatens Faster, More Painful Response to US Ship Attacks
- Sep 6Iran to declare restricted zone outside Strait of Hormuz from US naval blockade line
- Sep 6IRGC warns US economic blockade will backfire, cost Washington more than Tehran
- Sep 5Vance: US alone can secure Strait of Hormuz, warns of energy crisis
Discussion
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