Brazil Ministry of Planning revises 2026 Selic rate projection to 14.16%
The Brazilian Ministry of Planning and Budget updated its 2026 economic parameters, raising the average Selic interest rate forecast to 14.16% while significantly lowering the projected average oil price to $79.16 per barrel. The exchange rate forecast remains unchanged at 5.16 BRL/USD. These adjustments reflect the government's latest fiscal and macroeconomic assessment in the third bimonthly revenue and expenditure report.
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Brazil Selic Rate Projections Rise Amid Geopolitical Oil Price Surge
The Brazilian Ministry of Planning and Budget has revised its 2026 average Selic rate projection upward to 14.16%, reflecting updated fiscal and macroeconomic assessments. Concurrently, Brazilian DI rates for January 2028 have climbed to 14.355% due to market-driven inflationary expectations following a confirmed surge in global oil prices above $100 per barrel, triggered by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and US-Iran military exchanges.