Belarusian fuel exports to Russia surge 4.5x, filling gap from Ukrainian strikes

Belarusian fuel imports to Russia are on track to exceed 1 million tons in the first nine months of 2026, a 4.5-fold increase year-on-year, with September alone accounting for 20% of that volume. This surge supports a Russian fuel market strained by Ukrainian strikes on refineries, though Belarusian fuel still represents only 6% of Russian supply. The development signals deepening energy interdependence between Minsk and Moscow amid wartime disruption.