Le Pen leads French 2027 presidential polls; far-left close behind

Two French polls (Ipsos-BVA for Le Monde, Toluna Harris Interactive) show Marine Le Pen as the decisive first-round favorite for the 2027 presidential election, with the far-left candidate close to qualifying for the second round. The polls indicate a stable lead for Le Pen, but the exact margin and second-round dynamics remain uncertain. This matters as it signals a potential far-right victory in a major EU state, with implications for European policy and markets.