Russia escalates hybrid provocations against NATO; experts see changed tactics

Russia has significantly intensified hybrid warfare tactics across Europe, including cyber attacks, physical sabotage, and airspace incursions, since 2022. Danish military intelligence assesses a low but growing risk of a limited Russian military attack on NATO within months, marking a notable shift in official Western threat assessments from purely hybrid to potential kinetic action. The full scope and attribution of some operations remain partially unconfirmed, but the pattern suggests a deliberate, sustained strategy.