Tigray rebels launch offensive into Afar and Amhara, new coalition targets Abiy government

TPLF forces have launched an offensive into Afar and Amhara, escalating after the formation of a new rebel coalition aimed at overthrowing Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed. Both sides accuse each other of triggering renewed conflict, reviving fears of a return to the 2020-2022 civil war that killed ~600,000. The offensive marks a significant escalation from the fragile 2022 ceasefire, with the coalition's stated goal of regime change raising the stakes.