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6.4

Ethiopia's Fragile Peace Collapses as New Coalition of Armed Groups Emerges

Ethiopia's peace has broken down, but this conflict differs from the 2020-2022 war. The government now faces a coalition of armed groups that may receive external backing from Horn of Africa and Gulf rivals, raising risks of regional escalation. The extent of external support and the conflict's trajectory remain uncertain.

Just Security1 day agoETengCredibility 29%View source

Score Breakdown

Mosaic Score6.4
Model confidence0.3
Significance0.8
Source credibility0.3
Source

Related signals

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