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7.1

Brazil 2026: Lula leads first round, runoff tightens vs Bolsonaro

New Quaest, Datafolha, and Meio/Ideia polls show Lula leading the first round with 37%, while second-round simulations against Flávio Bolsonaro narrow. The race is tightening, suggesting a competitive runoff despite Lula's first-round edge.

Valor Econômicoabout 4 hours agoBRCredibility 44%View source

Score Breakdown

Mosaic Score7.1
Confidence0.5
Significance0.5
Source credibility0.4

Intelligence Tags

#brazil#election#polls#lula#bolsonaro

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