Brent retreats to $104 despite supply disruption threats, US sanctions easing plans
Published 2 d ago6 sourcesEvidence: Reported
Oil prices remain elevated near $106 as markets weigh potential US easing of sanctions on certain tankers against heightened security risks in the Strait of Hormuz. The US is reportedly seeking new ways to increase supply, indicating policy flexibility amid tight markets. The net directional impact is uncertain, as sanctions relief could add supply while Hormuz disruptions threaten it.
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Confirmed data indicates a record surge in maritime attacks in the Strait of Hormuz, with 12-22 vessels struck in the past week, leading to a 70% reduction in transits below pre-conflict levels. UKMTO assesses the threat as 'severe' with further attacks 'highly likely', while underreporting of incidents is claimed to obscure the full scale of the threat. This sustained disruption is driving significant increases in shipping costs and tanker prices, with attribution of attacks remaining unclear.
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