PoliticsNotablePartialDeveloping
5.6
Brazil 2026: Lula's lead narrows to 5 pts vs Bolsonaro's 8 in 2022
InfoMoney·BR·about 8 hours ago
PoliticsConfirmedMedium
6.7
Bolsonaro leads Lula in first poll for potential 2026 runoff
A Quaest poll commissioned by O Globo shows Jair Bolsonaro ahead of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for the first time in a hypothetical second-round matchup, with 42% versus Lula's share. This marks a shift in Brazilian electoral dynamics ahead of the 2026 presidential race, though the poll is a snapshot and not a forecast.
Score Breakdown
Mosaic Score6.7
Confidence0.7
Significance0.5
Source credibility0.4
Related signals
8 foundPoliticsNotableConfirmedDeveloping
7.2
Brazil Poll: Lula 36%, Flávio 31% in First Round, Cury 7%
InfoMoney·BR·1 day ago
PoliticsNotableEmergingDeveloping
6.2
Lula Accuses Bolsonaros of Banco Master Scandal Amid Tight Campaign
La República (Peru)LO·BR·2 days ago
PoliticsNotableEmergingDeveloping
5.8
Boulos: Game tied, Mendonça cannot set election; Lula counter-attack planned
Poder360·BR·3 days ago
PoliticsNotableConfirmedDeveloping
5.8
Brazil poll: Lula leads Flávio by 1% in runoff, within margin of error
Poder360·BR·1 day ago
PoliticsNotableEmergingDeveloping
5.4
Brazil: Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro fear Supreme Court fallout in judicial clash
La Vanguardia·BR·1 day ago
PoliticsHighConfirmedAccelerating
8.9
AfD surges to record 30% in German poll, leads CDU/CSU by 10 points ahead of state votes
Anadolu Agency EN·DE·about 9 hours ago
PoliticsNotableConfirmedDeveloping
6.7
Marinho: Alcolumbre's discretion on impeachment shields Senate amid STF crisis
Valor Econômico·BR·about 20 hours ago