Hong Kong home prices forecast to rise 15% in 2026, still 16% below 2021 peak

Midland Realty forecasts Hong Kong home prices will end 2026 up 15% year-on-year, driven by expectations that local banks will not follow any Fed rate hike. The market remains 16% below its 2021 peak, indicating a partial recovery. The forecast hinges on the Fed's policy path and local bank behavior, which are uncertain.