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6.6

Brazil: Lula's lead over Bolsonaro narrows in Datafolha poll

A Datafolha poll released Thursday shows President Lula's lead over right-wing Senator Bolsonaro has decreased, indicating a tightening race ahead of the 2026 election. The shift suggests growing support for the opposition, though the margin of error and timing remain unspecified. This matters as it signals a more competitive political landscape in Brazil, potentially affecting market sentiment and policy expectations.

Capital.grabout 1 hour agoBRCredibility 38%View source

Score Breakdown

Mosaic Score6.6
Confidence0.5
Significance0.5
Source credibility0.4

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