US-China ties increasingly hinge on Trump-Xi personal rapport as institutional channels erode

The US-China relationship is increasingly managed through direct Trump-Xi personal diplomacy, with institutional channels and career diplomats sidelined. This concentration of foreign policy in the presidency raises uncertainty about policy continuity and crisis management, especially as both leaders seek to impress each other. The trend signals a shift from rules-based engagement to leader-driven, personality-centric statecraft.

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