Politics
8.6
Brazil poll: Flávio leads Lula 51.1% to 48.9% in runoff
Published 19 h ago5 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyPoder360BR
PoliticsReportedMediumDeveloping
7.1
Brazil runoff: Quaest tracks voter migration from defeated candidates to Lula and Flávio
A Quaest poll maps where supporters of defeated first-round candidates (Caiado, Zema, Renan, Cury) are moving in Brazil's presidential runoff. The data shows shifts toward both Lula and Flávio, indicating a competitive second round. This matters as it signals coalition dynamics and potential electoral outcomes.
Score Breakdown
Mosaic Score7.1
Model confidence0.5
Significance0.5
Source credibility0.5
Related signals
8 foundPolitics
9.2
Brazil runoff: Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro statistically tied with week to go
Published 1 d ago5 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyDeutsche WelleBR · US
Politics
9.0
Brazil Runoff Tight: Bolsonaro Son Leads Lula by 2 Points, Mass Rallies
Published 1 d ago5 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyEl DeberLow-rated sourceBR
Politics
7.2
Brazil presidential runoff tight between Lula and Bolsonaro
Published 1 h ago2 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storySveriges RadioLow-rated sourceBR
Markets
7.1
Brazilian Real Weakens, Ibovespa Falls on Tied Presidential Poll
Published 8 h ago7 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityModerateAssessedDeveloping storyPoder360BR
Politics
6.5
AtlasIntel: Flávio leads among Caiado voters, Lula gains from Cury in Brazil runoff
Published 2 d ago4 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityModerateAssessedDeveloping storyInfoMoneyBR
Politics
6.5
Brazil poll tracks vote transfer between Lula and Flávio days before election
Published 2 d ago4 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityModerateAssessedDeveloping storyInfoMoneyBR
Politics
6.0
Brazil runoff poll: Quaest to gauge voter priorities ahead of 2nd round
Published 1 d ago3 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityModerateAssessedDeveloping storyInfoMoneyBR