XP raises dollar forecast to R$5.50 by 2027, ties real outlook to fiscal scenario

XP revised its dollar-real forecast to R$5.50 for 2027, up from R$5.30, citing fiscal uncertainty in Brazil. The revision signals deteriorating market confidence in Brazil's fiscal trajectory, which could pressure the real and influence capital flows. The outlook hinges on the government's ability to implement credible fiscal measures.

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