Politics
7.3
NRW CDU drops 8 points to 26%, AfD rises to 21% in INSA poll
Published 23 h ago5 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityModerateDie WeltDE
PoliticsReportedMediumDeveloping
6.2
German poll: Left and BSW surge, Union-SPD coalition falls short of majority
INSA Sunday trend shows AfD leading despite slight losses, while Union and SPD together drop to 31%, with Left and BSW gaining. This signals fragmentation of the German party system and complicates coalition arithmetic ahead of the 2026 federal election.
Score Breakdown
Mosaic Score6.2
Model confidence0.5
Significance0.5
Source credibility0.5
Related signals
8 foundPolitics
6.3
AfD's Weidel calls Ukraine war 'lost', demands end to German aid
Published 1 d ago5 sourcesEvidence: Unknown
SeverityModerateDie WeltDE · UA · GB
Politics
6.3
CDU's Lammert: Excluding AfD and Die Linke cooperation threatens Union survival
Published 2 d ago4 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityModerateAssessedDeveloping storyZeit OnlineDE
Politics
6.2
CDU General Secretary Defends Incompatibility Decision Against AfD Amid Coalition Pressure
Published 12 h ago3 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityModerateDie WeltDE
Politics
5.9
German Minister Warns AfD Rule in Saxony-Anhalt Would Harm Science, Plans Emergency Network
Published 2 d ago4 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityModerateAssessedDeveloping storyDie WeltDE
Politics
5.5
Israeli election poll shows Netanyahu, opposition tied at 51 seats each
Published 1 d ago4 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityModerateAnadolu Agency ENIL
Politics
9.2
Brazil 2026 runoff: Flavio Bolsonaro 47%, Lula 45% — technical tie
Published 1 d ago6 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyLa Nación (Argentina)Low-rated sourceBR
Politics
8.9
Brazil poll: Flavio leads Lula 50.8%-49.2% in runoff
Published 22 h ago6 sourcesEvidence: Reported
SeverityHighAssessedDeveloping storyPoder360BR